Forums > Kitesurfing   Western Australia

Perth wind prediction?

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Created by ste A week ago, 6 Oct 2018
ste
WA, 377 posts
6 Oct 2018 4:11PM
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how do you think the season will be in Perth this year? Any predictions?

Gazuki
WA, 769 posts
6 Oct 2018 7:11PM
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Average,.. were mid October and haven't started getting solid Seabreeze's yet.
Been very humid too,. I'm no exsexpbut tought.

ste
WA, 377 posts
6 Oct 2018 8:09PM
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No thats what I was thinking. Already getting lots of troughs developing.I suppose a bad season here is still pretty good.

cauncy
WA, 6366 posts
6 Oct 2018 10:23PM
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Not as good as the midwest

DJMWA
WA, 267 posts
8 Oct 2018 1:52PM
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Looks like BOM are forecasting an El Ni?o this summer. Cooler water for WA which means stronger sea breezes yeeeeeew.

eppo
WA, 6582 posts
8 Oct 2018 7:51PM
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Water is cold... even the water in Exmouth felt colder than previous years at the same time.

Getting some east / south pattens starting to happen. Won't be long.

Dave Whettingsteel
WA, 1312 posts
8 Oct 2018 9:19PM
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Indian Ocean Dipole is a lot higher than this time last year and was super high a couple of months ago. Might explain the slow start to the season, at least in the MidWest anyway. Looks similar to the 15/16 season dipole trend. I don't really recall how good / bad that year was. Last year was a ripper and the dipole trend looked quite different to this year so far.

I dont know exactly what influence the dipole has on the seabreeze, but all this cloudy humid crap definitely doesn't help.

www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/indices.shtml?bookmark=iod

Gazuki
WA, 769 posts
9 Oct 2018 6:36AM
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2015/2016 was an epic season!! I kited almost everyday.

That was the season my son was born, I was on the water four hours before he was born. Misses wasn't happy sitting in the car, in labour whilst I kited,.

Dave Whettingsteel
WA, 1312 posts
9 Oct 2018 10:18AM
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Select to expand quote
Gazuki said..
2015/2016 was an epic season!! I kited almost everyday.

That was the season my son was born, I was on the water four hours before he was born. Misses wasn't happy sitting in the car, in labour whilst I kited,.


I bet she wasn't!!!
Maybe the Dipole doesn't have much bearing on the seabreeze season then. Its supposed to have a big bearing on rainfall, heat etc. I wonder if it affects the start of the season, but its impact is minimal once we get in to it. Could use a BoM forecaster on seabreeze!

DJMWA
WA, 267 posts
9 Oct 2018 10:29AM
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My understanding is they use the IOD strength/polarity to predict whether we will experience a el-nino/la-Nina (and the strength).

www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/outlook/

www.bom.gov.au/climate/iod/images/IOD-in-Australia.pdf

cauncy
WA, 6366 posts
9 Oct 2018 11:17AM
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Select to expand quote
DJMWA said..
My understanding is they use the IOD strength/polarity to predict whether we will experience a el-nino/la-Nina (and the strength).

www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/outlook/

www.bom.gov.au/climate/iod/images/IOD-in-Australia.pdf


My understanding
if it's windy enough you go kiting

Dave Whettingsteel
WA, 1312 posts
10 Oct 2018 1:47PM
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Select to expand quote
cauncy said..

DJMWA said..
My understanding is they use the IOD strength/polarity to predict whether we will experience a el-nino/la-Nina (and the strength).

www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/outlook/

www.bom.gov.au/climate/iod/images/IOD-in-Australia.pdf



My understanding
if it's windy enough you go kiting


Meteorology / Climatology not an interest of yours Micko?

cauncy
WA, 6366 posts
10 Oct 2018 3:29PM
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Select to expand quote
Dave Whettingsteel said..

cauncy said..


DJMWA said..
My understanding is they use the IOD strength/polarity to predict whether we will experience a el-nino/la-Nina (and the strength).

www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/outlook/

www.bom.gov.au/climate/iod/images/IOD-in-Australia.pdf




My understanding
if it's windy enough you go kiting



Meteorology / Climatology not an interest of yours Micko?


More a wet Willy in the wind kind of guy

eppo
WA, 6582 posts
Saturday , 13 Oct 2018 4:33PM
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Pfff you don't guys in the Midwest don't need to worry yourself with such meteorological physics.

Its just gonna blow its ass off regardless of El "Ni?o. Nano. Nini, Nono, ...El fckn whatever

Weta
WA, 777 posts
Saturday , 13 Oct 2018 6:21PM
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Yeah and thanks to Mick daily forecasts will be posted in the General Kitesurfing Forum

Dave Whettingsteel
WA, 1312 posts
Saturday , 13 Oct 2018 7:06PM
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Select to expand quote
cauncy said..

Dave Whettingsteel said..


cauncy said..



DJMWA said..
My understanding is they use the IOD strength/polarity to predict whether we will experience a el-nino/la-Nina (and the strength).

www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/outlook/

www.bom.gov.au/climate/iod/images/IOD-in-Australia.pdf





My understanding
if it's windy enough you go kiting




Meteorology / Climatology not an interest of yours Micko?



More a wet Willy in the wind kind of guy


Haha despite Micks willy waving its been very ordinary here for quite a while. Am hoping it settles into a regular summer pattern soon.

Richoa
NSW, 417 posts
Monday , 15 Oct 2018 9:41AM
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I spoke to god, and requested Friday morning as a sleep in day.

Sorry to hear things are grim over there!


cauncy
WA, 6366 posts
Monday , 15 Oct 2018 7:12AM
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Select to expand quote
Richoa said..
I spoke to god, and requested Friday morning as a sleep in day.

Sorry to hear things are grim over there!



I'll give you that
Nsw 1
Wa 0

Gazuki
WA, 769 posts
Thursday , 18 Oct 2018 1:08PM
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It's here,. I'm calling it. Started the 21st There is a consistent swing every arvo according to windguru,...Yeeeewwwww!!!!!

www.windguru.cz/100636



ReefWalker
WA, 36 posts
Thursday , 18 Oct 2018 1:59PM
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Select to expand quote
Gazuki said..
It's here,. I'm calling it. Started the 21st There is a consistent swing every arvo according to windguru,...Yeeeewwwww!!!!!

www.windguru.cz/100636




I hope you are right, but it doesn't look like a summer weather pattern to me :(




danno
WA, 93 posts
Thursday , 18 Oct 2018 2:14PM
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From what I understand, BOM predicting less cyclones this season, which generally means less troughs, less humid weather and therefore more sea-breezes.

www.bom.gov.au/climate/cyclones/australia/

gruezi
WA, 3464 posts
Thursday , 18 Oct 2018 5:55PM
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Lots of it.

Gazuki
WA, 769 posts
Friday , 19 Oct 2018 7:16AM
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Seabreeze is now confirming windguru. Official start of the season, Sunday 21st October!!




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"Perth wind prediction?" started by ste